Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo Betting tips for November 24 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 23:00

Deportivo Tachira 1.74

X 3.12

Carabobo 4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo:

🔮 Deportivo Tachira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Tachira, you can win up to $870.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo, with Deportivo Tachira as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Carabobo has not lost any of them. 👉 Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Carabobo playing at home.

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Analysis from Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo for the Venezuela Primera Division – 24 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226746 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

Is betting on Deportivo Tachira worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Tachira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $458.80
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$78.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $572.40;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Carabobo?

🔴 Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Tachira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Tachira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportivo Tachira.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Deportivo Tachira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.