Deportivo Tachira x Zamora Betting tips for November 16 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora, Saturday, 16/11/2024

📅 16/11/2024 23:30

Deportivo Tachira 1.40

X 4.03

Zamora 7.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora:

🔮 Deportivo Tachira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Tachira, you can win up to $700.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $280.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Zamora in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $7.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Zamora, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Tachira x Zamora, with Deportivo Tachira as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Zamora matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Zamora conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Deportivo Tachira is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Zamora playing at home.

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Analysis from Deportivo Tachira x Zamora for the Venezuela Primera Division – 16 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Tachira?

🔵 Deportivo Tachira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $272.70
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$637.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on Zamora?

🔴 Zamora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $195.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$775.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Tachira x Zamora

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Tachira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Deportivo Tachira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Deportivo Tachira.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Zamora.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Tachira x Zamora

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.