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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Derby x Bristol Rovers Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 1
Derby Derby
PREDICTION Derby wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Derby x Bristol Rovers Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Derby x Bristol Rovers, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Derby Derby
1.64
X
3.80
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
4.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Derby x Bristol Rovers:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Derby wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Derby, you can win up to $820.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Derby x Bristol Rovers:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $116.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bristol Rovers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bristol Rovers scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Bristol Rovers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Derby matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Bristol Rovers has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Derby x Bristol Rovers

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Derby x Bristol Rovers for the England League 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Derby X Bristol Rovers – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Derby – Winning probability: 70.54% | Fair line: 1.42
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.05% | Fair line: 4.53
๐Ÿ”ด Bristol Rovers – Winning probability: 7.40% | Fair line: 13.51
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Derby
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Derby x Bristol Rovers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Derby x Bristol Rovers

Should you bet on Derby?

๐Ÿ”ต Derby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $454.40;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$164.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$164.00.

Is betting on Bristol Rovers worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Bristol Rovers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $255.50;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$674.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Bristol Rovers

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Derby
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Bristol Rovers

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Derby and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Derby.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Derby.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Bristol Rovers

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves