Derby x Millwall Betting tips for December 10 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Derby x Millwall, Wednesday, 10/12/2025

📅 10/12/2025 19:45

Derby 2.37

X 3.05

Millwall 3.13

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Derby x Millwall:

🔮 Millwall wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millwall, you can win up to $1565.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Derby x Millwall:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Millwall in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Derby matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Derby conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Derby conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Millwall.
👉 Even as a visitor, Millwall won the last 5 head-to-head matches Derby´s territory

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Derby x Millwall?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Derby x Millwall:

Analysis from Derby x Millwall for the England Championship – 10 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Derby and Millwall.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Derby x Millwall

Is it worth betting on Derby?

🔵 Derby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $328.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$431.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $430.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.

Is betting on Millwall worth it?

🔴 Millwall: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $1150.20;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$690.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Millwall

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Millwall

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Derby, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Derby.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Millwall.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Millwall

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.