Derby x Portsmouth Betting tips for December 13 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Derby x Portsmouth, Friday, 13/12/2024

📅 13/12/2024 20:00

Derby 1.90

X 3.40

Portsmouth 4.03

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Derby x Portsmouth:

🔮 Derby wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Derby, you can win up to $950.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Derby x Portsmouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Derby matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Portsmouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Derby x Portsmouth?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Derby x Portsmouth, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Derby x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 13 of December

When the best bet on Derby x Portsmouth is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235879 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Derby x Portsmouth

Is it a good idea to bet on Derby?

🔵 Derby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$216.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on Portsmouth?

🔴 Portsmouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $303.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$597.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Portsmouth

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Derby, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Derby.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Derby.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.