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Home » Predictions » Others » Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h00 Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Derince Spor A.S. Derince Spor A.S.
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
11:00
Derince Spor A.S. Derince Spor A.S.
2.21
X
3.08
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1540.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Derince Spor A.S. in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Derince Spor A.S. conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Derince Spor A.S. as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 30 of November

🏟️ Derince Spor A.S. X Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Derince Spor A.S. – Winning probability: 28.95% | Fair line: 3.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.00% | Fair line: 2.56
🔴 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu – Winning probability: 32.05% | Fair line: 3.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derince Spor A.S.
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Should you bet on Derince Spor A.S.?

🔵 Derince Spor A.S.: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $350.90;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $811.20;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$201.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

🔴 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $601.60
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$78.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derince Spor A.S.
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Derince Spor A.S., and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Derince Spor A.S..

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derince Spor A.S. x Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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