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Home » Predictions » Others » Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Derthona Derthona
PREDICTION No tip
ACSD Saluzzo ACSD Saluzzo
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Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:30
Derthona Derthona
2.38
X
3.08
ACSD Saluzzo ACSD Saluzzo
2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo

Important information for your tip for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Derthona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ACSD Saluzzo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $602.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, ACSD Saluzzo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo, with Derthona as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ACSD Saluzzo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, ACSD Saluzzo has not lost any of them.
👉 Derthona has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against ACSD Saluzzo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

🏟️ Derthona X ACSD Saluzzo – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Derthona – Winning probability: 38.83% | Fair line: 2.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.75% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 ACSD Saluzzo – Winning probability: 35.41% | Fair line: 2.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derthona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo

Is betting on Derthona worth it?

🔵 Derthona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $538.20;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$71.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $540.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$199.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on ACSD Saluzzo?

🔴 ACSD Saluzzo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $595.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derthona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Derthona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Derthona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Derthona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derthona x ACSD Saluzzo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves