Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia Betting tips for October 1 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga
| 📅 1/10/2024 14:00 |
 Dinamo Batumi1.30 |
X 4.75 |
FC Samtredia  8.06 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia:
🔮 Dinamo Batumi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dinamo Batumi, you can win up to $650.00!
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The main points for the tip for Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Batumi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 1 of October
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🏟️ Dinamo Batumi X FC Samtredia – Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
When the best bet on Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia
Is betting on Dinamo Batumi worth it?
🔵 Dinamo Batumi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $270.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $262.50;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$667.50.
Is betting on FC Samtredia worth it?
🔴 FC Samtredia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $141.20;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$838.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Dinamo Batumi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Dinamo Batumi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Dinamo Batumi.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 FC Samtredia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dinamo Batumi x FC Samtredia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
