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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Diosgyori VTK x Paksi Betting tips for July 28 in Hungary NB I
Sunday, 28 July 2024, 13h50 Hungary NB I
Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK
PREDICTION No tip
Paksi Paksi
Don't miss this prediction!

Diosgyori VTK x Paksi Betting tips for July 28 in Hungary NB I

Our betting tip for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi, Sunday, 28/7/2024
πŸ“… 28/7/2024
13:50
Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK
2.75
X
3.50
Paksi Paksi
2.21

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi

Some important points for the tip for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Diosgyori VTK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $354.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Paksi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Diosgyori VTK scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Paksi scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Paksi, Diosgyori VTK scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Diosgyori VTK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Paksi.
πŸ‘‰ Diosgyori VTK is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Diosgyori VTK x Paksi?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Diosgyori VTK x Paksi, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Diosgyori VTK x Paksi for the Hungary NB I – 28 of July

🏟️ Diosgyori VTK X Paksi – Hungary NB I
πŸ“… 28 of July, 2024 – 13:50
πŸ”΅ Diosgyori VTK – Winning probability: 29.10% | Fair line: 3.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.77% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ Paksi – Winning probability: 42.13% | Fair line: 2.37
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Diosgyori VTK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Diosgyori VTK x Paksi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1151649 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi

Is it a good idea to bet on Diosgyori VTK?

πŸ”΅ Diosgyori VTK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $507.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$202.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $725.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$15.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Paksi?

πŸ”΄ Paksi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $508.20
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$71.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Diosgyori VTK x Paksi

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Diosgyori VTK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Diosgyori VTK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Diosgyori VTK.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Diosgyori VTK.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Diosgyori VTK x Paksi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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