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Home » Predictions » Others » Diriangen x Managua FC Betting tips for December 15 in Nicaragua Apertura
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 01h00 Nicaragua Apertura
Diriangen Diriangen
PREDICTION Diriangen wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Managua FC Managua FC
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Diriangen x Managua FC Betting tips for December 15 in Nicaragua Apertura

Our betting tip for Diriangen x Managua FC, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
01:00
Diriangen Diriangen
1.35
X
4.70
Managua FC Managua FC
6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Diriangen x Managua FC:

🔮 Diriangen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Diriangen, you can win up to $675.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Diriangen x Managua FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Managua FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Diriangen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Managua FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Managua FC, Diriangen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Diriangen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Managua FC received red cards as the away team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Diriangen.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Managua FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Diriangen is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Diriangen has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Managua FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Diriangen x Managua FC for the Nicaragua Apertura – 15 of December

🏟️ Diriangen X Managua FC – Nicaragua Apertura
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Diriangen – Winning probability: 85.46% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.45% | Fair line: 9.57
🔴 Managua FC – Winning probability: 4.08% | Fair line: 24.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Diriangen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Diriangen x Managua FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236700 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Diriangen x Managua FC

Is it worth betting on Diriangen?

🔵 Diriangen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 85.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – profiting $297.50;
  • And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $370.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$530.00.

Is betting on Managua FC worth it?

🔴 Managua FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Diriangen x Managua FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Diriangen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Diriangen x Managua FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Diriangen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Diriangen.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Diriangen x Managua FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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