Don Benito x Xerez CD Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
| 📅 1/12/2024 16:30 |
 Don Benito2.30 |
X 2.87 |
Xerez CD  2.89 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Don Benito x Xerez CD:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1435.00!
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The main points for the tip for Don Benito x Xerez CD: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Don Benito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. |
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Analysis from Don Benito x Xerez CD for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 1 of December
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🏟️ Don Benito X Xerez CD – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Don Benito and Xerez CD.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Don Benito x Xerez CD
Is it worth betting on Don Benito?
🔵 Don Benito: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – profiting $520.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $691.90;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$61.90.
Is betting on Xerez CD worth it?
🔴 Xerez CD: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $434.70;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Don Benito x Xerez CD
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Don Benito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Don Benito x Xerez CD
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Don Benito, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Don Benito.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Don Benito x Xerez CD
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
