Dorados x Club Celaya Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 2/2/2025 03:05 |
 Dorados3.25 |
X 3.55 |
Club Celaya  1.95 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dorados x Club Celaya:
🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $975.00!
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Important information for your tip for Dorados x Club Celaya: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0. |
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Analysis from Dorados x Club Celaya for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 2 of February
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🏟️ Dorados X Club Celaya – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dorados x Club Celaya right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255014 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Dorados x Club Celaya
Is betting on Dorados worth it?
🔵 Dorados: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $612.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$148.00.
Should you bet on Club Celaya?
🔴 Club Celaya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – profiting $532.00;
- And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dorados x Club Celaya
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dorados
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dorados x Club Celaya
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Dorados, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Dorados.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Dorados.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dorados x Club Celaya
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
