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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Dover x Weston Super Mare Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League South
Dover Dover
PREDICTION No tip
Weston Super Mare Weston Super Mare
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Dover x Weston Super Mare Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Dover x Weston Super Mare, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Dover Dover
2.68
X
3.38
Weston Super Mare Weston Super Mare
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dover x Weston Super Mare:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Dover x Weston Super Mare

The main points for the tip for Dover x Weston Super Mare:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dover in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Weston Super Mare in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Dover scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Dover conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dover x Weston Super Mare

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Dover x Weston Super Mare?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Dover x Weston Super Mare:

Analysis from Dover x Weston Super Mare for the England National League South – 25 of November

🏟️ Dover X Weston Super Mare – England National League South
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Dover – Winning probability: 21.97% | Fair line: 4.55
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.95% | Fair line: 3.85
πŸ”΄ Weston Super Mare – Winning probability: 52.08% | Fair line: 1.92
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dover
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dover x Weston Super Mare right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

Is it a good idea to bet on Dover?

πŸ”΅ Dover: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $369.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$410.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $618.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$121.20.

Is it worth betting on Weston Super Mare?

πŸ”΄ Weston Super Mare: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$170.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dover x Weston Super Mare

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dover
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Dover, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dover.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Weston Super Mare.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves