Dover x Weston Super Mare Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Dover x Weston Super Mare, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 15:00

Dover 2.68

X 3.38

Weston Super Mare 2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dover x Weston Super Mare:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Dover x Weston Super Mare

The main points for the tip for Dover x Weston Super Mare: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dover in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Weston Super Mare in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Dover scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Dover conceded at least 1 goal(s).

📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dover x Weston Super Mare

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Dover x Weston Super Mare?

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Analysis from Dover x Weston Super Mare for the England National League South – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dover x Weston Super Mare right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

Is it a good idea to bet on Dover?

🔵 Dover: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $369.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$410.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $618.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$121.20.

Is it worth betting on Weston Super Mare?

🔴 Weston Super Mare: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
• And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$170.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dover x Weston Super Mare

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dover
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Dover, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dover.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Weston Super Mare.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dover x Weston Super Mare

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.