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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai Betting tips for November 24 in Thailand Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Thailand Division 2
Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi
PREDICTION Chiangmai Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Chiangmai Chiangmai
ODD: @2.31 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai Betting tips for November 24 in Thailand Division 2

Our betting tip for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
11:00
Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi
2.66
X
3.25
Chiangmai Chiangmai
2.31

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chiangmai wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chiangmai, you can win up to $1155.00!

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The main points for the tip for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chiangmai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chiangmai conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai

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Summary

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Analysis from Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai for the Thailand Division 2 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi X Chiangmai – Thailand Division 2
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi – Winning probability: 28.82% | Fair line: 3.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.55% | Fair line: 4.43
๐Ÿ”ด Chiangmai – Winning probability: 48.62% | Fair line: 2.06
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai

Is betting on Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $481.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$228.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $517.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$252.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chiangmai?

๐Ÿ”ด Chiangmai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $641.90
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$131.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi x Chiangmai

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves