Drogheda United x Dundalk Betting tips for November 1 in Republic of Ireland Premier Division

Our betting tip for Drogheda United x Dundalk, Friday, 1/11/2024

📅 1/11/2024 19:45

Drogheda United 2.00

X 3.46

Dundalk 3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Drogheda United x Dundalk:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1730.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Drogheda United x Dundalk: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Drogheda United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dundalk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Dundalk scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Dundalk, Drogheda United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Drogheda United x Dundalk, with Drogheda United as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Drogheda United conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dundalk conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Drogheda United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Dundalk.

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Analysis from Drogheda United x Dundalk for the Republic of Ireland Premier Division – 1 of November

When the best bet on Drogheda United x Dundalk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Drogheda United x Dundalk

Should you bet on Drogheda United?

🔵 Drogheda United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $836.40
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.40.

Is it worth betting on Dundalk?

🔴 Dundalk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Drogheda United x Dundalk

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Drogheda United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Drogheda United x Dundalk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Drogheda United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Drogheda United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Dundalk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Drogheda United x Dundalk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.