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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Duhok x Al Najaf Betting tips for November 24 in Iraq League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Iraq League
Duhok Duhok
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 26% 1 X 2
Al Najaf Al Najaf
ODD: @2.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Duhok x Al Najaf Betting tips for November 24 in Iraq League

Our betting tip for Duhok x Al Najaf, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
16:00
Duhok Duhok
2.59
X
2.75
Al Najaf Al Najaf
2.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Duhok x Al Najaf:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1375.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Duhok x Al Najaf:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Duhok in each of its last 2 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Najaf in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Al Najaf matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Al Najaf has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Duhok x Al Najaf

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Duhok x Al Najaf?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Duhok x Al Najaf, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Duhok x Al Najaf for the Iraq League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Duhok X Al Najaf – Iraq League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Duhok – Winning probability: 33.67% | Fair line: 2.97
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.04% | Fair line: 2.5
๐Ÿ”ด Al Najaf – Winning probability: 26.29% | Fair line: 3.8
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Duhok
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Duhok x Al Najaf is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Duhok x Al Najaf

Is betting on Duhok worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Duhok: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $540.60;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$119.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $700.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Najaf?

๐Ÿ”ด Al Najaf: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $452.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$287.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Duhok x Al Najaf

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Duhok
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Duhok x Al Najaf

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Duhok, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Duhok.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Al Najaf.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Duhok x Al Najaf

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves