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Home » Predictions » Others » Dumbarton x Alloa Betting tips for November 29 in Scotland FA Cup
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h45 Scotland FA Cup
Dumbarton Dumbarton
PREDICTION Dumbarton wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Alloa Alloa
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Dumbarton x Alloa Betting tips for November 29 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Dumbarton x Alloa, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
19:45
Dumbarton Dumbarton
2.40
X
3.60
Alloa Alloa
2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dumbarton x Alloa:

🔮 Dumbarton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dumbarton, you can win up to $1200.00!

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Important information for your tip for Dumbarton x Alloa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dumbarton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alloa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Alloa, Dumbarton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Alloa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Dumbarton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dumbarton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Alloa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Dumbarton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Alloa.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Dumbarton x Alloa?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Dumbarton x Alloa for the Scotland FA Cup – 29 of November

🏟️ Dumbarton X Alloa – Scotland FA Cup
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Dumbarton – Winning probability: 51.70% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.59% | Fair line: 7.36
🔴 Alloa – Winning probability: 34.71% | Fair line: 2.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dumbarton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Dumbarton x Alloa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dumbarton x Alloa

Is it worth betting on Dumbarton?

🔵 Dumbarton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $728.00;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Is it worth betting on Alloa?

🔴 Alloa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $507.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dumbarton x Alloa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dumbarton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dumbarton x Alloa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Dumbarton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dumbarton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dumbarton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dumbarton x Alloa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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