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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Dumiense x FC Tirsense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Dumiense Dumiense
PREDICTION No tip
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
Don't miss this prediction!

Dumiense x FC Tirsense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Dumiense x FC Tirsense, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Dumiense Dumiense
3.10
X
3.40
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
2.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dumiense x FC Tirsense:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Dumiense x FC Tirsense

Some important points for the tip for Dumiense x FC Tirsense:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dumiense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Tirsense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Tirsense scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Dumiense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, FC Tirsense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Dumiense x FC Tirsense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Dumiense X FC Tirsense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Dumiense – Winning probability: 20.43% | Fair line: 4.89
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.70% | Fair line: 3.26
πŸ”΄ FC Tirsense – Winning probability: 48.87% | Fair line: 2.05
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dumiense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dumiense x FC Tirsense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dumiense x FC Tirsense

Is it worth betting on Dumiense?

πŸ”΅ Dumiense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$380.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$54.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on FC Tirsense?

πŸ”΄ FC Tirsense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $490.00;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dumiense x FC Tirsense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dumiense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dumiense x FC Tirsense

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Dumiense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Dumiense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Tirsense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dumiense x FC Tirsense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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