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Home » Predictions » Others » Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for November 21 in Jamaica Premier League
Thursday, 21 November 2024, 20h00 Jamaica Premier League
Dunbeholden FC Dunbeholden FC
PREDICTION Tivoli Gardens Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for November 21 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens, Thursday, 21/11/2024
📅 21/11/2024
20:00
Dunbeholden FC Dunbeholden FC
2.15
X
3.09
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens:

🔮 Tivoli Gardens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tivoli Gardens, you can win up to $1575.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dunbeholden FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $653.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tivoli Gardens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Tivoli Gardens, Dunbeholden FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tivoli Gardens conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Dunbeholden FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Tivoli Gardens playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens for the Jamaica Premier League – 21 of November

🏟️ Dunbeholden FC X Tivoli Gardens – Jamaica Premier League
📅 21 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Dunbeholden FC – Winning probability: 37.60% | Fair line: 2.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.04% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Tivoli Gardens – Winning probability: 37.36% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dunbeholden FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225495 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens

Should you bet on Dunbeholden FC?

🔵 Dunbeholden FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $437.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$183.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $522.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$227.50.

Should you bet on Tivoli Gardens?

🔴 Tivoli Gardens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $795.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dunbeholden FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Dunbeholden FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Dunbeholden FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Dunbeholden FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunbeholden FC x Tivoli Gardens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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