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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Dundee Utd x St Mirren Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland Premiership
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Scotland Premiership
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
PREDICTION No tip
St Mirren St Mirren
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Dundee Utd x St Mirren Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland Premiership

Our betting tip for Dundee Utd x St Mirren, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
2.03
X
3.38
St Mirren St Mirren
3.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dundee Utd x St Mirren:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Dundee Utd x St Mirren

Important information for your tip for Dundee Utd x St Mirren:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dundee Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Mirren in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Dundee Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Dundee Utd matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 St Mirren matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, St Mirren conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Dundee Utd x St Mirren for the Scotland Premiership – 30 of November

🏟️ Dundee Utd X St Mirren – Scotland Premiership
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Dundee Utd – Winning probability: 45.60% | Fair line: 2.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.84% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ St Mirren – Winning probability: 25.56% | Fair line: 3.91
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dundee Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dundee Utd and St Mirren.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dundee Utd x St Mirren

Is betting on Dundee Utd worth it?

πŸ”΅ Dundee Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $473.80;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$66.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $690.20;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$19.80.

Should you bet on St Mirren?

πŸ”΄ St Mirren: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $639.60
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$100.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dundee Utd x St Mirren

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Dundee Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dundee Utd x St Mirren

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Dundee Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Dundee Utd.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Dundee Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dundee Utd x St Mirren

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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