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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Dunfermline x Raith Betting tips for November 24 in Scotland FA Cup
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Scotland FA Cup
Dunfermline Dunfermline
PREDICTION Raith Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Raith Raith
ODD: @2.52 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Dunfermline x Raith Betting tips for November 24 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Dunfermline x Raith, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:45
Dunfermline Dunfermline
2.49
X
3.35
Raith Raith
2.52

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dunfermline x Raith:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Raith wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Raith, you can win up to $1260.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Dunfermline x Raith:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dunfermline in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Raith in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Raith scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Dunfermline x Raith, with Dunfermline as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Raith matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dunfermline conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Raith conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Raith is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dunfermline x Raith

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Dunfermline x Raith for the Scotland FA Cup – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Dunfermline X Raith – Scotland FA Cup
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Dunfermline – Winning probability: 40.11% | Fair line: 2.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.16% | Fair line: 7.06
๐Ÿ”ด Raith – Winning probability: 45.73% | Fair line: 2.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dunfermline
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunfermline x Raith right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dunfermline x Raith

Should you bet on Dunfermline?

๐Ÿ”ต Dunfermline: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $596.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$4.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $329.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$531.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Raith?

๐Ÿ”ด Raith: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $699.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$159.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Dunfermline x Raith

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dunfermline
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunfermline x Raith

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Dunfermline, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dunfermline.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dunfermline.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunfermline x Raith

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves