Dunfermline x Raith Betting tips for November 24 in Scotland FA Cup
📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dunfermline x Raith
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Analysis from Dunfermline x Raith for the Scotland FA Cup – 24 of November
🏟️ Dunfermline X Raith – Scotland FA Cup
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunfermline x Raith right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Dunfermline x Raith
Should you bet on Dunfermline?
🔵 Dunfermline: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $596.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$4.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $329.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$531.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Raith?
🔴 Raith: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $699.20;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$159.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dunfermline x Raith
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dunfermline
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunfermline x Raith
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Dunfermline, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Dunfermline.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Dunfermline.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunfermline x Raith
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.