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Home » Predictions » Others » Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC Betting tips for December 23 in Northern Ireland Premier
Monday, 23 December 2024, 19h45 Northern Ireland Premier
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
PREDICTION Larne FC Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Larne FC Larne FC
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC Betting tips for December 23 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC, Monday, 23/12/2024
📅 23/12/2024
19:45
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
3.66
X
3.28
Larne FC Larne FC
1.89

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC:

🔮 Larne FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larne FC, you can win up to $945.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dungannon Swifts in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-177.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Larne FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $33.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC for the Northern Ireland Premier – 23 of December

🏟️ Dungannon Swifts X Larne FC – Northern Ireland Premier
📅 23 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Dungannon Swifts – Winning probability: 15.31% | Fair line: 6.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.19% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Larne FC – Winning probability: 57.50% | Fair line: 1.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dungannon Swifts
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239281 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC

Is it worth betting on Dungannon Swifts?

🔵 Dungannon Swifts: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $399.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$451.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $615.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$114.40.

Is betting on Larne FC worth it?

🔴 Larne FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $507.30;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$77.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dungannon Swifts
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Dungannon Swifts and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Dungannon Swifts.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Dungannon Swifts.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dungannon Swifts x Larne FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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