Dungannon Swifts x Linfield Betting tips for December 17 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield, Tuesday, 17/12/2024

📅 17/12/2024 19:45

Dungannon Swifts 4.81

X 4.20

Linfield 1.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield:

🔮 Linfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Linfield, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dungannon Swifts in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Linfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dungannon Swifts scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts x Linfield, with Dungannon Swifts as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Dungannon Swifts conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Linfield. 👉 Even as a visitor, Linfield won the last 5 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dungannon Swifts x Linfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dungannon Swifts x Linfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Dungannon Swifts x Linfield for the Northern Ireland Premier – 17 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1237062 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

Is it worth betting on Dungannon Swifts?

🔵 Dungannon Swifts: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $228.60;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$711.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on Linfield worth it?

🔴 Linfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 73.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $407.00;
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$147.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Dungannon Swifts
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Dungannon Swifts and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Dungannon Swifts.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.