Dunkerque x Caen Betting tips for December 16 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Dunkerque x Caen, Monday, 16/12/2024

📅 16/12/2024 19:45

Dunkerque 2.00

X 3.35

Caen 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dunkerque x Caen:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Dunkerque x Caen

Some important points for the tip for Dunkerque x Caen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dunkerque in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $655.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-195.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dunkerque scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Caen, Dunkerque scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Dunkerque conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Caen. 👉 Dunkerque is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Dunkerque x Caen for the France Ligue 2 – 16 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunkerque x Caen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237062 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dunkerque x Caen

Should you bet on Dunkerque?

🔵 Dunkerque: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $658.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$62.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Caen?

🔴 Caen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dunkerque x Caen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Dunkerque
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunkerque x Caen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Dunkerque and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Dunkerque.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Caen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunkerque x Caen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.