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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Dunkerque x Laval Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
Dunkerque Dunkerque
PREDICTION Laval Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Laval Laval
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Dunkerque x Laval Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Dunkerque x Laval, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
18:00
Dunkerque Dunkerque
3.10
X
3.12
Laval Laval
2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dunkerque x Laval:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Laval wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Laval, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Dunkerque x Laval:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dunkerque in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Laval in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $578.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Laval, Dunkerque scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Dunkerque conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Laval has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Dunkerque as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Dunkerque x Laval

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Dunkerque x Laval for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Dunkerque X Laval – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Dunkerque – Winning probability: 16.45% | Fair line: 6.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.50% | Fair line: 3.92
๐Ÿ”ด Laval – Winning probability: 58.06% | Fair line: 1.72
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dunkerque
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dunkerque x Laval right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dunkerque x Laval

Is it worth betting on Dunkerque?

๐Ÿ”ต Dunkerque: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$504.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $530.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$220.00.

Should you bet on Laval?

๐Ÿ”ด Laval: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$276.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Dunkerque x Laval

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dunkerque
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dunkerque x Laval

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Dunkerque, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Dunkerque.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Laval.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dunkerque x Laval

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves