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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women Betting tips for November 23 in England League Cup Women
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 England League Cup Women
Durham Women Durham Women
PREDICTION Durham Women wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
Sheff Utd Women Sheff Utd Women
ODD: @2.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women Betting tips for November 23 in England League Cup Women

Our betting tip for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
19:00
Durham Women Durham Women
2.28
X
3.35
Sheff Utd Women Sheff Utd Women
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Durham Women wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Durham Women, you can win up to $1140.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Durham Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sheff Utd Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sheff Utd Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sheff Utd Women, Durham Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women, with Durham Women as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Sheff Utd Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Durham Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sheff Utd Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Durham Women has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sheff Utd Women playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women for the England League Cup Women – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Durham Women X Sheff Utd Women – England League Cup Women
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Durham Women – Winning probability: 60.32% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.55% | Fair line: 11.7
๐Ÿ”ด Sheff Utd Women – Winning probability: 31.13% | Fair line: 3.21
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Durham Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women

Is betting on Durham Women worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Durham Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $768.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$368.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $211.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$698.50.

Is it worth betting on Sheff Utd Women?

๐Ÿ”ด Sheff Utd Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $527.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$163.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Durham Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Durham Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Durham Women.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Durham Women x Sheff Utd Women

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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