EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras Betting tips for February 9 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 9/2/2025 21:30 |
 EC Agua Santa7.58 |
X 4.32 |
Palmeiras  1.34 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras:
🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $670.00!
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Some important points for the tip for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $64.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 9 of February
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🏟️ EC Agua Santa X Palmeiras – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1259761 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras
Is it worth betting on EC Agua Santa?
🔵 EC Agua Santa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $65.80;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$924.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $99.60
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.40.
Is betting on Palmeiras worth it?
🔴 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $326.40;
- And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$286.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 EC Agua Santa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 EC Agua Santa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Palmeiras.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Agua Santa x Palmeiras
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
