EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 19:00

EC Agua Santa 2.40

X 3.05

Ponte Preta 2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta

The main points for the tip for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $289.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, EC Agua Santa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 EC Agua Santa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 2 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta

Is betting on EC Agua Santa worth it?

🔵 EC Agua Santa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $533.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$207.00.

Is betting on Ponte Preta worth it?

🔴 Ponte Preta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Agua Santa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Agua Santa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Agua Santa x Ponte Preta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.