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Home » Predictions » Others » EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
Saturday, 19 April 2025, 22h00 Brazil Serie D
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
PREDICTION EC Agua Santa wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
ODD: @2.03 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre, Saturday, 19/4/2025
📅 19/4/2025
22:00
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
2.03
X
2.91
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
3.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre:

🔮 EC Agua Santa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Agua Santa, you can win up to $1015.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pouso Alegre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pouso Alegre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre:

Analysis from EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April

🏟️ EC Agua Santa X Pouso Alegre – Brazil Serie D
📅 19 of April, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 EC Agua Santa – Winning probability: 47.03% | Fair line: 2.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.50% | Fair line: 3.18
🔴 Pouso Alegre – Winning probability: 21.48% | Fair line: 4.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Agua Santa and Pouso Alegre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305782 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre

Should you bet on EC Agua Santa?

🔵 EC Agua Santa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $484.10;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$45.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $592.10;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.90.

Is it worth betting on Pouso Alegre?

🔴 Pouso Alegre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $556.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$233.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 EC Agua Santa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Agua Santa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pouso Alegre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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