EC Bahia x Ceara Betting tips for March 26 in Brazil Copa Nordeste

Our betting tip for EC Bahia x Ceara, Wednesday, 26/3/2025

📅 26/3/2025
22:00

EC Bahia
1.73

X
3.30

Ceara

4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Bahia x Ceara:

🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $865.00!

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Important information for your tip for EC Bahia x Ceara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $77.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $631.0.
👉 Ceara did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between EC Bahia x Ceara, with EC Bahia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, EC Bahia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ceara.
👉 Ceara is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Summary

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Analysis from EC Bahia x Ceara for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 26 of March

🏟️ EC Bahia X Ceara – Brazil Copa Nordeste
📅 26 of March, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 EC Bahia – Winning probability: 63.53% | Fair line: 1.57
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.97% | Fair line: 4.77
🔴 Ceara – Winning probability: 15.50% | Fair line: 6.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Bahia x Ceara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289606 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Ceara

Is betting on EC Bahia worth it?

🔵 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $467.20
And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 210 times – profiting $483.00;
And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on Ceara worth it?

🔴 Ceara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $532.80;
And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Ceara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EC Bahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 EC Bahia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.