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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป EC Pelotas x Avenida Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
EC Pelotas EC Pelotas
PREDICTION Avenida Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Avenida Avenida
ODD: @3.26 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Pelotas x Avenida Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho

Our betting tip for EC Pelotas x Avenida, Thursday, 30/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 30/1/2025
23:00
EC Pelotas EC Pelotas
2.20
X
2.90
Avenida Avenida
3.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Pelotas x Avenida:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Avenida wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avenida, you can win up to $1630.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for EC Pelotas x Avenida:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Pelotas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avenida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Avenida, EC Pelotas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Avenida conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ EC Pelotas is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ EC Pelotas has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Avenida.

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Summary

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Analysis from EC Pelotas x Avenida for the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho โ€“ 30 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ EC Pelotas X Avenida โ€“ Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
๐Ÿ“… 30 of January, 2025 โ€“ 23:00
๐Ÿ”ต EC Pelotas โ€“ Winning probability: 35.40% | Fair line: 2.82
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 23.76% | Fair line: 4.21
๐Ÿ”ด Avenida โ€“ Winning probability: 40.84% | Fair line: 2.45
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 EC Pelotas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on EC Pelotas x Avenida is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1254175 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for EC Pelotas x Avenida

Is it worth betting on EC Pelotas?

๐Ÿ”ต EC Pelotas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times โ€“ having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times โ€“ with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$230.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 760 times โ€“ losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$304.00.

Is it worth betting on Avenida?

๐Ÿ”ด Avenida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times โ€“ profiting $926.60;
  • And would have lost other 590 times โ€“ with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$336.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Pelotas x Avenida

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 EC Pelotas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for EC Pelotas x Avenida

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Pelotas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Pelotas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Pelotas x Avenida

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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