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Home » Predictions » Others » Eibar x FC Cartagena Betting tips for December 2 in Spain Segunda
Monday, 02 December 2024, 19h30 Spain Segunda
Eibar Eibar
PREDICTION Eibar wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Eibar x FC Cartagena Betting tips for December 2 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Eibar x FC Cartagena, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
19:30
Eibar Eibar
1.53
X
3.75
FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Eibar x FC Cartagena:

🔮 Eibar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eibar, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Eibar x FC Cartagena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Cartagena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-358.0.
👉 In the last 4 Eibar matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Eibar x FC Cartagena for the Spain Segunda – 2 of December

🏟️ Eibar X FC Cartagena – Spain Segunda
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Eibar – Winning probability: 77.79% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.77% | Fair line: 7.26
🔴 FC Cartagena – Winning probability: 8.44% | Fair line: 11.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eibar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Eibar x FC Cartagena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230608 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Eibar x FC Cartagena

Is it worth betting on Eibar?

🔵 Eibar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $413.40
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Cartagena?

🔴 FC Cartagena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $400.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Eibar x FC Cartagena

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eibar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eibar x FC Cartagena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Eibar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Eibar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FC Cartagena.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eibar x FC Cartagena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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