Eibar x Valladolid Betting tips for December 19 in Spain Segunda
| 📅 19/12/2025 19:30 |
 Eibar2.20 |
X 3.10 |
Valladolid  3.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Eibar x Valladolid:
🔮 Eibar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eibar, you can win up to $1100.00!
The main points for the tip for Eibar x Valladolid:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Eibar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Eibar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Valladolid.
👉 It is not a good time for Eibar as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from Eibar x Valladolid for the Spain Segunda – 19 of December
🏟️ Eibar X Valladolid – Spain Segunda
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Eibar – Winning probability: 51.19% | Fair line: 1.95
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.03% | Fair line: 3.84
🔴 Valladolid – Winning probability: 22.78% | Fair line: 4.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Eibar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Eibar x Valladolid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Eibar x Valladolid
Is betting on Eibar worth it?
🔵 Eibar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $612.00;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Valladolid?
🔴 Valladolid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eibar x Valladolid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Eibar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eibar x Valladolid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Eibar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Eibar.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Eibar.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eibar x Valladolid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
