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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo Betting tips for December 26 in Egypt Division 1
Thursday, 26 December 2024, 18h00 Egypt Division 1
El Masry El Masry
PREDICTION No tip
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
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El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo Betting tips for December 26 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo, Thursday, 26/12/2024
πŸ“… 26/12/2024
18:00
El Masry El Masry
4.33
X
3.19
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
1.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo

Some important points for the tip for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on El Masry in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $208.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Ahly Cairo in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-78.0.
πŸ‘‰ El Masry did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ Al Ahly Cairo did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 El Masry matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Al Ahly Cairo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, El Masry conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Al Ahly Cairo.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Al Ahly Cairo has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Al Ahly Cairo won the last 3 head-to-head matches El MasryΒ΄s territory

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo for the Egypt Division 1 – 26 of December

🏟️ El Masry X Al Ahly Cairo – Egypt Division 1
πŸ“… 26 of December, 2024 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ El Masry – Winning probability: 14.54% | Fair line: 6.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.53% | Fair line: 3.28
πŸ”΄ Al Ahly Cairo – Winning probability: 54.93% | Fair line: 1.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 El Masry
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239919 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo

Should you bet on El Masry?

πŸ”΅ El Masry: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $499.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$350.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $678.90;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$11.10.

Is it worth betting on Al Ahly Cairo?

πŸ”΄ Al Ahly Cairo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $467.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$17.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 El Masry
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 El Masry, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 El Masry.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 El Masry.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Masry x Al Ahly Cairo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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