El Nacional x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for November 27 in Ecuador Cup
| 📅 27/11/2024 20:00 |
 El Nacional2.17 |
X 3.52 |
Independiente del Valle  2.78 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle:
🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $1390.00!
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Important information for your tip for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on El Nacional x Independiente del Valle?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on El Nacional x Independiente del Valle:
Analysis from El Nacional x Independiente del Valle for the Ecuador Cup – 27 of November
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🏟️ El Nacional X Independiente del Valle – Ecuador Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between El Nacional and Independiente del Valle.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
Should you bet on El Nacional?
🔵 El Nacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $608.40;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$128.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $126.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$824.00.
Should you bet on Independiente del Valle?
🔴 Independiente del Valle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $765.40
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$195.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 El Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 El Nacional.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Independiente del Valle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
