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Home » Predictions » Others » El Nacional x LDU Quito Betting tips for February 2 in Ecuador Super Cup
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 00h00 Ecuador Super Cup
El Nacional El Nacional
PREDICTION LDU Quito Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
LDU Quito LDU Quito
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

El Nacional x LDU Quito Betting tips for February 2 in Ecuador Super Cup

Our betting tip for El Nacional x LDU Quito, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
00:00
El Nacional El Nacional
4.58
X
3.55
LDU Quito LDU Quito
1.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for El Nacional x LDU Quito:

🔮 LDU Quito wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LDU Quito, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for El Nacional x LDU Quito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $267.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, El Nacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, El Nacional conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against LDU Quito.
👉 Even as a visitor, LDU Quito won the last 3 head-to-head matches El Nacional´s territory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on El Nacional x LDU Quito?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Nacional x LDU Quito, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from El Nacional x LDU Quito for the Ecuador Super Cup – 2 of February

🏟️ El Nacional X LDU Quito – Ecuador Super Cup
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 El Nacional – Winning probability: 7.20% | Fair line: 13.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.23% | Fair line: 16.05
🔴 LDU Quito – Winning probability: 86.57% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between El Nacional and LDU Quito.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255014 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for El Nacional x LDU Quito

Should you bet on El Nacional?

🔵 El Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $250.60
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$679.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $153.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$787.00.

Is betting on LDU Quito worth it?

🔴 LDU Quito: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $565.50;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$435.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match El Nacional x LDU Quito

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Nacional x LDU Quito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 El Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 El Nacional.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 El Nacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Nacional x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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