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Home » Predictions » Others » El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 13
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 13
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
PREDICTION No tip
At. Pulpileno At. Pulpileno
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El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 13

Our betting tip for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
El Palmar CF Estrella Grana El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
2.16
X
3.10
At. Pulpileno At. Pulpileno
3.04

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno

Some important points for the tip for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $450.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on At. Pulpileno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, El Palmar CF Estrella Grana scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno for the Spain Tercera Group 13 – 1 of December

🏟️ El Palmar CF Estrella Grana X At. Pulpileno – Spain Tercera Group 13
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana – Winning probability: 37.58% | Fair line: 2.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.64% | Fair line: 2.97
🔴 At. Pulpileno – Winning probability: 28.78% | Fair line: 3.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno

Is it a good idea to bet on El Palmar CF Estrella Grana?

🔵 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $440.80;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$179.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $714.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$54.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on At. Pulpileno?

🔴 At. Pulpileno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $591.60;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 At. Pulpileno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Palmar CF Estrella Grana x At. Pulpileno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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