El Masry x El Zamalek Betting tips for June 17 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for El Masry x El Zamalek, Monday, 17/6/2024

📅 17/6/2024 16:00

El Masry 2.09

X 3.15

El Zamalek 3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for El Masry x El Zamalek:

🔮 El Masry wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on El Masry, you can win up to $1045.00!

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Some important points for the tip for El Masry x El Zamalek: 👉 If you had bet $100 on El Masry in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-164.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on El Zamalek in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, El Zamalek scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 El Masry is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession. 👉 El Masry has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against El Zamalek playing at home.

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Analysis from El Masry x El Zamalek for the Egypt Division 1 – 17 of June

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for El Masry x El Zamalek right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1134740 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for El Masry x El Zamalek

Should you bet on El Masry?

🔵 El Masry: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $555.90;
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$65.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $494.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is it worth betting on El Zamalek?

🔴 El Zamalek: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $603.20
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match El Masry x El Zamalek

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 El Masry
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Masry x El Zamalek

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 El Masry and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 El Masry.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 El Zamalek.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Masry x El Zamalek

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.