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Home » Predictions » Others » El Zamalek x Pharco FC Betting tips for June 21 in Egypt Division 1
Friday, 21 June 2024, 16h00 Egypt Division 1
El Zamalek El Zamalek
PREDICTION El Zamalek wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Pharco FC Pharco FC
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

El Zamalek x Pharco FC Betting tips for June 21 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for El Zamalek x Pharco FC, Friday, 21/6/2024
📅 21/6/2024
16:00
El Zamalek El Zamalek
1.60
X
3.58
Pharco FC Pharco FC
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for El Zamalek x Pharco FC:

🔮 El Zamalek wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on El Zamalek, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for El Zamalek x Pharco FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on El Zamalek in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pharco FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, El Zamalek scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pharco FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 El Zamalek matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pharco FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Pharco FC has not lost any of them.
👉 El Zamalek has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Pharco FC playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Zamalek x Pharco FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Zamalek x Pharco FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from El Zamalek x Pharco FC for the Egypt Division 1 – 21 of June

🏟️ El Zamalek X Pharco FC – Egypt Division 1
📅 21 of June, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 El Zamalek – Winning probability: 64.26% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.11% | Fair line: 4.74
🔴 Pharco FC – Winning probability: 14.63% | Fair line: 6.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 El Zamalek
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for El Zamalek x Pharco FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1136110 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for El Zamalek x Pharco FC

Is it a good idea to bet on El Zamalek?

🔵 El Zamalek: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$24.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $541.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$248.20.

Is it worth betting on Pharco FC?

🔴 Pharco FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match El Zamalek x Pharco FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 El Zamalek
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Zamalek x Pharco FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 El Zamalek, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 El Zamalek.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Pharco FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Zamalek x Pharco FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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