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Home » Predictions » Others » Elgin x Kelty Hearts Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Scotland FA Cup
Elgin Elgin
PREDICTION Kelty Hearts Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Elgin x Kelty Hearts Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Elgin x Kelty Hearts, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Elgin Elgin
3.10
X
3.60
Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Elgin x Kelty Hearts:

🔮 Kelty Hearts wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kelty Hearts, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Elgin x Kelty Hearts:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elgin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kelty Hearts in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Elgin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Kelty Hearts scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Elgin x Kelty Hearts, with Elgin as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Elgin has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Kelty Hearts playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Elgin x Kelty Hearts?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Elgin x Kelty Hearts, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Elgin x Kelty Hearts for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Elgin X Kelty Hearts – Scotland FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Elgin – Winning probability: 26.05% | Fair line: 3.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.42% | Fair line: 7.45
🔴 Kelty Hearts – Winning probability: 60.53% | Fair line: 1.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Elgin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Elgin x Kelty Hearts right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Elgin x Kelty Hearts

Is it worth betting on Elgin?

🔵 Elgin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $338.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.00.

Is betting on Kelty Hearts worth it?

🔴 Kelty Hearts: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $610.00;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$220.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Elgin x Kelty Hearts

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Elgin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elgin x Kelty Hearts

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Elgin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Elgin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kelty Hearts.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elgin x Kelty Hearts

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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