Elgin x Peterhead Betting tips for December 28 in Scotland League Two

Our betting tip for Elgin x Peterhead, Saturday, 28/12/2024

📅 28/12/2024 15:00

Elgin 2.16

X 3.32

Peterhead 2.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Elgin x Peterhead:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Elgin x Peterhead

The main points for the tip for Elgin x Peterhead: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Elgin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $420.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterhead in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Elgin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Peterhead scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Peterhead, Elgin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Elgin matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Elgin conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Peterhead conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Elgin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Peterhead.

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Analysis from Elgin x Peterhead for the Scotland League Two – 28 of December

When the best bet on Elgin x Peterhead is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239997 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Elgin x Peterhead

Is it worth betting on Elgin?

🔵 Elgin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $359.60;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $649.60
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.40.

Is it worth betting on Peterhead?

🔴 Peterhead: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $746.20;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$156.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Elgin x Peterhead

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Elgin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elgin x Peterhead

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Elgin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Elgin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Peterhead.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elgin x Peterhead

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.