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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Elversberg x Paderborn Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga II
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga II
Elversberg Elversberg
PREDICTION Elversberg wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
Paderborn Paderborn
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Elversberg x Paderborn Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Elversberg x Paderborn, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
Elversberg Elversberg
2.30
X
3.53
Paderborn Paderborn
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Elversberg x Paderborn:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Elversberg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Elversberg, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Elversberg x Paderborn:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Elversberg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $353.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Paderborn in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $648.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Paderborn scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Paderborn matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Elversberg x Paderborn

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Elversberg x Paderborn for the Germany Bundesliga II – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Elversberg X Paderborn – Germany Bundesliga II
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Elversberg – Winning probability: 48.98% | Fair line: 2.04
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.82% | Fair line: 5.05
๐Ÿ”ด Paderborn – Winning probability: 31.20% | Fair line: 3.21
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Elversberg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Elversberg and Paderborn.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Elversberg x Paderborn

Is it worth betting on Elversberg?

๐Ÿ”ต Elversberg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $637.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$127.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$294.00.

Should you bet on Paderborn?

๐Ÿ”ด Paderborn: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $527.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$163.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Elversberg x Paderborn

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Elversberg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elversberg x Paderborn

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Elversberg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Elversberg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Elversberg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elversberg x Paderborn

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves