Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for March 15 in Colombia Primera A
📅 15/3/2025 19:00 |
![]() 6.08 |
X 3.88 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin ![]() 1.48 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin:
🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $740.00!
Important information for your tip for Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. |

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Analysis from Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 15 of March
🏟️ Envigado FC X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Envigado FC and Atletico Nacional Medellin.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Is it worth betting on Envigado FC?
🔵 Envigado FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $203.20
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$756.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $374.40;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$495.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $398.40
- And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$228.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Envigado FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Envigado FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Envigado FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Envigado FC x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.