Envigado FC x Junior Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 2/11/2024 21:00 |
 Envigado FC3.60 |
X 3.18 |
Junior  2.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Envigado FC x Junior:
🔮 Junior wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Junior, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Envigado FC x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. |
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Analysis from Envigado FC x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November
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🏟️ Envigado FC X Junior – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Envigado FC x Junior right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214258 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Junior
Is it a good idea to bet on Envigado FC?
🔵 Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $390.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $523.20;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$236.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Junior?
🔴 Junior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $610.00
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Envigado FC x Junior
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Envigado FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Junior
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Envigado FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Envigado FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Envigado FC x Junior
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
