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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h00 Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Erbaaspor Erbaaspor
PREDICTION No tip
Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor
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Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
11:00
Erbaaspor Erbaaspor
2.37
X
3.15
Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor
2.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor

The main points for the tip for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Erbaaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ankara Demirspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $42.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Erbaaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ankara Demirspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Ankara Demirspor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Erbaaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ankara Demirspor conceded at least 3 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 30 of November

🏟️ Erbaaspor X Ankara Demirspor – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Erbaaspor – Winning probability: 34.31% | Fair line: 2.91
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.67% | Fair line: 3.9
πŸ”΄ Ankara Demirspor – Winning probability: 40.02% | Fair line: 2.5
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Erbaaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Erbaaspor and Ankara Demirspor.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor

Is it a good idea to bet on Erbaaspor?

πŸ”΅ Erbaaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $465.80
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$194.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

Should you bet on Ankara Demirspor?

πŸ”΄ Ankara Demirspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $656.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Erbaaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Erbaaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Erbaaspor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ankara Demirspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erbaaspor x Ankara Demirspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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