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Home » Predictions » Erbil SC x Al Hudod Betting tips for November 26 in Iraq League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 16h30 Iraq League
Erbil SC Erbil SC
PREDICTION No tip
Al Hudod Al Hudod
Don't miss this prediction!

Erbil SC x Al Hudod Betting tips for November 26 in Iraq League

Our betting tip for Erbil SC x Al Hudod, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
16:30
Erbil SC Erbil SC
1.75
X
3.10
Al Hudod Al Hudod
4.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Erbil SC x Al Hudod:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Erbil SC x Al Hudod

Important information for your tip for Erbil SC x Al Hudod:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Hudod in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Al Hudod conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Al Hudod as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Erbil SC x Al Hudod for the Iraq League – 26 of November

🏟️ Erbil SC X Al Hudod – Iraq League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Erbil SC – Winning probability: 58.50% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.98% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 Al Hudod – Winning probability: 13.52% | Fair line: 7.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Erbil SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Erbil SC x Al Hudod is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Erbil SC x Al Hudod

Is it worth betting on Erbil SC?

🔵 Erbil SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on Al Hudod?

🔴 Al Hudod: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $488.60
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$371.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Erbil SC x Al Hudod

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Erbil SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erbil SC x Al Hudod

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Erbil SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Erbil SC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erbil SC x Al Hudod

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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