Erzgebirge Aue x Verl Betting tips for November 30 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 13:00

Erzgebirge Aue 2.40

X 3.40

Verl 2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl

Important information for your tip for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Erzgebirge Aue in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verl in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Erzgebirge Aue scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verl scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Erzgebirge Aue conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verl conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Erzgebirge Aue x Verl for the Germany 3.Liga – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Erzgebirge Aue and Verl.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl

Is it a good idea to bet on Erzgebirge Aue?

🔵 Erzgebirge Aue: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $490.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is betting on Verl worth it?

🔴 Verl: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $640.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Erzgebirge Aue x Verl

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Erzgebirge Aue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Erzgebirge Aue and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Erzgebirge Aue.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Verl.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erzgebirge Aue x Verl

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.