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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
ES El Ghozlane ES El Ghozlane
PREDICTION No tip
MSP Batna MSP Batna
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ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
ES El Ghozlane ES El Ghozlane
1.88
X
3.00
MSP Batna MSP Batna
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Some important points for the tip for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ES El Ghozlane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MSP Batna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $450.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, ES El Ghozlane scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, ES El Ghozlane conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

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Summary

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Analysis from ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November

🏟️ ES El Ghozlane X MSP Batna – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ ES El Ghozlane – Winning probability: 52.77% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.98% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ MSP Batna – Winning probability: 15.25% | Fair line: 6.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES El Ghozlane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Is it a good idea to bet on ES El Ghozlane?

πŸ”΅ ES El Ghozlane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $466.40;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$3.60.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on MSP Batna?

πŸ”΄ MSP Batna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES El Ghozlane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 ES El Ghozlane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 ES El Ghozlane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 MSP Batna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves