ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
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24/11/2023 14:00 |
 ES El Ghozlane1.88 |
X 3.00 |
MSP Batna  4.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
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Some important points for the tip for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna: π If you had bet $100 on ES El Ghozlane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. |
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2023, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November
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ποΈ ES El Ghozlane X MSP Batna – Algeria Division 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
Is it a good idea to bet on ES El Ghozlane?
π΅ ES El Ghozlane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $466.40;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$3.60.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$40.00.
Is it worth betting on MSP Batna?
π΄ MSP Batna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$370.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES El Ghozlane
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 ES El Ghozlane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 ES El Ghozlane.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 MSP Batna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
