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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
ES El Ghozlane ES El Ghozlane
PREDICTION No tip
MSP Batna MSP Batna
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ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
ES El Ghozlane ES El Ghozlane
1.88
X
3.00
MSP Batna MSP Batna
4.08

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Some important points for the tip for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ES El Ghozlane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MSP Batna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $450.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, ES El Ghozlane scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, ES El Ghozlane conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November

🏟️ ES El Ghozlane X MSP Batna – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ ES El Ghozlane – Winning probability: 52.72% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.30% | Fair line: 3.2
πŸ”΄ MSP Batna – Winning probability: 15.98% | Fair line: 6.26
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES El Ghozlane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Is betting on ES El Ghozlane worth it?

πŸ”΅ ES El Ghozlane: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $466.40;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$3.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is betting on MSP Batna worth it?

πŸ”΄ MSP Batna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $492.80
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$347.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES El Ghozlane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 ES El Ghozlane and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 ES El Ghozlane.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 MSP Batna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES El Ghozlane x MSP Batna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves