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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey Betting tips for November 25 in Algeria Division 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
ES Mostaganem ES Mostaganem
PREDICTION No tip
NA Hussein Dey NA Hussein Dey
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ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey Betting tips for November 25 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
ES Mostaganem ES Mostaganem
1.56
X
3.20
NA Hussein Dey NA Hussein Dey
6.24

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

Some important points for the tip for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ES Mostaganem in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NA Hussein Dey in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $550.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, ES Mostaganem scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 NA Hussein Dey matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ ES Mostaganem is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, NA Hussein Dey has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey:

Analysis from ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey for the Algeria Division 2 – 25 of November

🏟️ ES Mostaganem X NA Hussein Dey – Algeria Division 2
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ ES Mostaganem – Winning probability: 71.32% | Fair line: 1.4
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.91% | Fair line: 4.36
πŸ”΄ NA Hussein Dey – Winning probability: 5.76% | Fair line: 17.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 ES Mostaganem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

Is it a good idea to bet on ES Mostaganem?

πŸ”΅ ES Mostaganem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $397.60;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$107.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$264.00.

Is betting on NA Hussein Dey worth it?

πŸ”΄ NA Hussein Dey: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $314.40
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$625.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 ES Mostaganem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 ES Mostaganem, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 ES Mostaganem.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 ES Mostaganem.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES Mostaganem x NA Hussein Dey

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves